Timeline of USL-URF series vs. the national GDP per capita growths and the reduction of the global inequity
The economic projections with the basic rules of thumb of URF benefits:
Roughly, with the linear relationship more or less, 2 years of urf math will increase the surplus 2x-4x of the GDP increase of the developed world, up to about surplus 10x of the least developed world, averaging about 5x surplus boosts.
Table 1: A map of the global GDP per capita gap (2013)
Countries by 2013 GDP (nominal) per capita.
So, the breakdown of URF boost of the national GDP per capital is as follows.
The following is based on the economic projections over the next 10-15 years after linearized over the next 50-70 years:
Economic growth of URF member countries with the each release of USL-URF math series
|# of years in math education advancements by USL||Economic growths of Developed countries after pay URF membershio before paying URF contributions||Economic growths of Developed countries after pay URF contributions of 20-30% (with their often stagnating economy)||Economic growths of each country (Developing poorest countries with the currently rising economy)||Average Economic growths||Average gains when annualized linearly (in %)|
|2 years||3-6 times||2-4 times||10 times||5 times||10|
|4 years||5-12 times||4-8 times||20 times||10 times||20|
|6 years||9-16 times||6-12 times||30||15 times||30|
|8 years||11-24 times||8-16 times||40 times||20 times||40|
|10 years||14-30 times||10-20 times||50 times||25 times||50|
So, the surplus growth rates between the richest and the poorest countries will be roughly 1: 4-5 in each stage.
So during the 3 stages of URF-USL operations:
Table 3: This is a bit faster version of the progress than the Table 4 that we are aiming for more.
|The levels of the economic gaps (Inequity)||The current economic gap between the richest countries vs. the poorest||After the first URF series (which may operate for 3-5 years)||After the second URF series (which may operate for 3-5 years)||After the third URF series (which may operate for 3-5 years)|
|Times of differences||100-500 times||50-80 times||10-40 times||2-8 times|
|Average changes||250 times||60 times||20 times||5 times|
|Corresponding USL-URF math packages for this||No USL, No URF currently||USL-URF part 1 (advancing 2 out of the 4 first grades of math in primary schools)||USL-URF part 2 (advancing 4 out of 6 grades of math in primary schools)||USL-URF part 3 (advancing 5 out of 6 grades of math in primary schools & 1 year out of the 3 middle schools)|
|How this happen?|
|Examples||Norway, Switzerland, etc, vs. the 10 poorest sub-Saharan African countries||No longer GDP per capita less than $1,000 per year.||No longer GDP per capita less than $3,000 per year.||The poorest countries may reach at least $12,000 annually|
Table 4: this is a bit slower and practical version than Table 3.
There can be various scenarios where URF can operate over the next 10-15 years, but the following is one of the possible timelines of URF reducing the global inequity very rapidly. These are relatively conservative estimations.
The following is only a rough estimation as there will be various fluctuations of the GDP per capita growths.